Docket: IMM-5836-14
Citation:
2015 FC 821
Ottawa, Ontario, July 3, 2015
PRESENT: The
Honourable Madam Justice Kane
BETWEEN:
|
YINGCHAN ZHOU
|
Applicant
|
and
|
THE MINISTER OF
CITIZENSHIP AND IMMIGRATION
|
Respondent
|
JUDGMENT AND REASONS
[1]
Ms Zhou sought refugee protection in Canada
based on her claim of persecution as a Falun Gong practitioner in China.
[2]
The Refugee Protection Division of the Immigration
and Refugee Board [Board] denied her claim for protection as a Convention
refugee and as a person in need of protection pursuant to sections 96 and 97 of
the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act, SC 2001, c 27 [Act] on July
15, 2014, finding that she was not credible. She now seeks judicial review of
the decision pursuant to section 72 of the Act.
[3]
The application for judicial review is dismissed
for the reasons which follow.
Background
[4]
Ms Zhou recounts that during her final year of
nursing studies she grew disillusioned with the corruption within the hospital
where she studied, particularly regarding the hospital’s hiring practices.
Although she was hired, this was because her parents likely bribed her
employer. At the suggestion of her co-worker, Ms Wang, the applicant turned to
Falun Gong to renew her sense of optimism.
[5]
The applicant learned Falun Gong from Ms Wang
and joined her practice group.
[6]
On May 10, 2012, Ms Wang did not report to work.
Ms Wang’s husband advised that she had been arrested and warned the applicant
to go into hiding. The applicant claims that the Public Security Bureau [PSB] went
to her home on May 15, 2012 to arrest her and returned three other times.
[7]
The applicant claims that, aided by a smuggler
and with a United States [US] visa, she left China and travelled by way of
Dubai to Seattle, then crossed into Canada on foot and travelled from Vancouver
to Toronto, where she claimed refugee protection in August 2012.
[8]
The applicant claims that the PSB visited her
family’s home looking for her on twelve occasions after her departure.
The Board’s Decision
[9]
The Board found that the applicant’s story was
not credible, based on her inconsistent and implausible testimony and due to
the lack of any corroborating evidence.
[10]
The Board found that the applicant’s testimony
regarding the way that she obtained her US visa was not consistent with the
operational procedures that govern the issuance of such visas in China and drew
an adverse inference.
[11]
The Board found that, if the PSB were seeking
her arrest, it is not plausible that she would be able to leave China using her
own genuine passport, particularly due to the “Golden Shield Project”, an
integrated database that includes passport information and records entry and
exit from China. The Board found that it is reasonable to expect that, if the
PSB had sought the applicant’s arrest as she claimed, her name would be in this
database, and she would not have been able to leave the country undetected
using her own passport.
[12]
The Board noted that the applicant’s passport
displays an exit stamp, indicating her passport was examined.
[13]
The Board also found that the applicant’s
testimony regarding the use of a smuggler to obtain her visa and facilitate her
exit from China without being detected was not plausible, based on the
existence of the Golden Shield Project and because she had retained both her
visa and passport.
[14]
The Board further found that the applicant’s
testimony regarding her entry into Canada from the United States on foot and
without incident is inconsistent with the preponderance of documentary
evidence.
[15]
The Board concluded that the PSB was not seeking
the applicant. The applicant testified that the PSB had not left a summons or a
warrant with her family which is inconsistent with the country condition
documents. Although the Board acknowledged that a summons will not always be
issued, the Board found that if the police had visited her home on at least
sixteen occasions as she claimed, a summons would have been issued.
[16]
The Board referred to the applicant’s testimony
that none of her family members had suffered adverse consequences as a result
of her failure to report to the PSB and noted that this was inconsistent with
documentary evidence about the practices of Chinese authorities.
[17]
With respect to the applicant’s practice of
Falun Gong, the Board noted its earlier finding that the applicant was not
being sought as a Falun Gong practitioner in China by the PSB. The Board then
concluded that the applicant is not a genuine Falun Gong practitioner in Canada. Although she was able to answer most questions regarding Falun Gong, the Board
found that it is possible that this was for the purpose of her refugee claim.
The Board gave little evidentiary weight to letters of support from alleged
Falun Gong practitioners in Canada, which were all similar, were not dated or
notarized, and did not indicate membership with a formal organization.
[18]
In the alternative, the Board found that if the
applicant were a Falun Gong practitioner, she would not face persecution or
harm upon return to China. The Board considered the documentary evidence,
including the United Kingdom Operational Guidance Note: China that
explains that anyone can practice on their own privately and with discretion
without significant risk. The Board found that the applicant’s practice group
of six members that met in private and in secret was not discovered by the PSB,
nor did the PSB seek out the applicant.
[19]
The Board’s decision also includes some passages
that refer to a different refugee claim, unrelated to the applicant’s claim.
Irrelevant passages in this decision
[20]
As the applicant points out, and provides an
affidavit with the other decision referred to, there are several paragraphs in
this decision that are exactly the same as paragraphs in another decision of
the Board regarding a different applicant. It is also possible that the same
paragraphs appear in several other similar decisions.
[21]
In the present case, the obvious errors which
refer to this female applicant as “he” or “they” and which refer to facts or
testimony that do not arise in the present application suggest that the Board
relied on a template from a similar decision and incorporated boilerplate type
paragraphs.
[22]
As noted by Justice Snider in Gomez Cordova
v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2009 FC 309 at para 24,
[2009] FCJ No 620: “Provided that the “boilerplate” is
based on the documentary evidence and addresses the particular evidence and
position of a claimant, the Board’s repetition of certain passages from other
decisions is not, in and of itself, an error.”
[23]
In my view, where the Board is considering similar
claims from the same country based on the same risks, it is understandable that
the same country condition documents would be referred to and that the Board
would not attempt to use different wording to make the same point or summarize
the same documentary evidence or legal principles.
[24]
The use of boilerplate paragraphs, even those
that are irrelevant, is not, on its own, a basis to find a decision to be
unreasonable.
[25]
However, it is essential that the boilerplate
paragraphs or sentences reflect the Board’s consideration of the particular
applicant’s claim and testimony.
[26]
In the present case, there are several
paragraphs that appear in the other unrelated decision that are equally
relevant and applicable to the applicant’s claim and to the Board’s decision
regarding her claim.
[27]
However, there are other passages included from
the other unrelated decision without regard to their relevance to this applicant.
It is not surprising that the applicant challenges such findings arguing that
it appears the Board did not turn its mind to her claims, when the applicant is
referred to as “he” or “they”, or when testimony is attributed to the applicant
which is not her testimony.
[28]
For example, at para 22 of the decision, the
Board states “the claimant testified that although not
accompanied by the smuggler, she was provided with directions from the smuggler
as to how to navigate through China’s exit process. The claimant alleges that
the smuggler had arrangements with airport officials to gain their
passage through security without being detected. The claimant testified that
she was able to evade the attention of airport officials because he had
paid a smuggler who in turn paid people at the airport to ensure that even
though he was unaccompanied, he were [sic] able to pass through
the security checkpoints without incident. Based on the foregoing analysis of
the security measures put in place by the Golden Shield the panel does not find
the claimant’s explanation of her departure from China plausible”
(emphasis added).
[29]
The applicant testified that she was accompanied
by a smuggler. Whether or not the Board found this to be credible, she never
indicated that she was directed how to exit the airport on her own. The
applicant testified that her smuggler gave her other specific directions to
follow him.
[30]
At para 28, the Board states: “As well as not providing a summons or arrest warrant, the
claimants did not provide a jail visiting card or any other documentation as
proof of raid or that he is being sought by the PSB.” This passage has
no bearing on the facts of this case, which involved one female applicant, no
raid and no mention of anyone’s jail visiting card.
[31]
The Board needs to be more diligent in borrowing
from other decisions. Although an applicant with a similar story should expect
similar scrutiny by the Board and should expect the Board to rely on the same
documentary evidence, it is important that the Board consider the particular
applicant’s claim and evidence. A simple read through would avoid these obvious
errors – particularly where a “he”, ‘she” and “they” appear in the same
sentence, nonsensically – and would ensure that the decision reflects the
applicant’s claim.
[32]
In the present case, as elaborated upon below,
despite the inclusion of irrelevant passages and the specific errors, the
decision overall, when read in conjunction with the record, particularly the
transcript which reveals the Board’s probing of the applicant’s evidence, is
reasonable. The several credibility findings are justified by the evidence on
the record related to this applicant.
The Issues
[33]
The applicant argues that the Board erred by:
failing to assess her Falun Gong activities in China; drawing improper adverse
inferences of credibility from the evidence; finding that she had not
established her identity as a Falun Gong practitioner in China based on a lack
of corroborating evidence; basing its decision on speculation or conjecture;
failing to assess the sur place claim; and, finding that she would not
face persecution or harm in China.
[34]
The applicant also submits that due to the
Board’s inclusion of paragraphs from another decision, including some which
have no bearing on the applicant’s claim, the Board conducted only a
perfunctory analysis. This issue has been addressed above.
Standard of Review
[35]
The standard of reasonableness applies to issues
of fact, including credibility, and mixed fact and law.
[36]
The Court must therefore, determine whether the
decision “falls within a range of possible, acceptable
outcomes which are defensible in respect of the facts and law” (Dunsmuir
v New Brunswick, 2008 SCC 9 at para 47, [2008] 1 S.C.R. 190 [Dunsmuir]). Deference is owed to the decision-maker and the
Court will not reweigh the evidence.
[37]
It is also well-established that boards and
tribunals are ideally placed to assess credibility: Aguebor v Canada
(Minister of Employment and Immigration), [1993] FCJ No 732 at para 4, 160
NR 315 (FCA). The Board’s credibility findings should be given significant
deference: Lin v Canada (Minister of Citizenship
and Immigration), 2008 FC 1052 at para 13, [2008] FCJ No 1329; Fatih
v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2012 FC 857 at para 65,
415 FTR 82; Lubana v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and
Immigration), 2003 FCT 116 at para 7, 228 FTR 43.
[38]
In Newfoundland and Labrador Nurses’ Union v
Newfoundland and Labrador (Treasury Board), 2011 SCC 62 at paras 14-16,
[2011] 3 S.C.R. 708, the Supreme Court of Canada elaborated on the requirements of
Dunsmuir, noting that reasons are to “be read
together with the outcome and serve the purpose of showing whether the result
falls within a range of possible outcomes” and that courts “may, if they find it necessary, look to the record for the
purpose of assessing the reasonableness of the outcome.”
The Board assessed the applicant’s Falun Gong activities
in China and in Canada
[39]
The applicant argues that the Board is
required to perform an assessment of the applicant’s Falun Gong activities in
both China and Canada (Wang v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and
Immigration), 2008 FC 1153 at para 7, [2008] FCJ No 1433 [Wang]).
[40]
The applicant submits that the Board is required
to consider whether there is more than a mere possibility she will face
persecution if she returned to China (Salibian v Canada (Minister of
Citizenship and Immigration), [1990] 3 FC 250 at para 19, [1990] FCJ No 454
(FCA)) and that she need only establish that she belongs to a group that may be
persecuted.
[41]
The respondent notes that the Board made several
negative credibility findings and was not persuaded that the applicant is a
genuine Falun Gong practitioner. Therefore, she would not face a risk of
persecution.
[42]
In Wang, the Court noted at para 7:
Based on Chen, Huang and Li,
and having closely reviewed the tribunal’s record, including the transcripts,
overall, I find the Board’s conclusion unreasonable. There is evidence in the
record that members of the Falun Gong group have been persecuted in China. The Board’s finding that the applicant was able to leave China without incident does
not necessarily lead to the conclusion that the applicant is not, and never has
been, a Falun Gong practitioner either in China or in Canada. Indeed, despite the fact that the Board had some credibility concerns with respect to the
particular means by which the claimant left China, an assessment of the applicant’s
Falun Gong activities, both in China and in Canada, was nevertheless necessary
considering the documentary evidence on record and the elaborate testimony of
the applicant on this very central issue of her claim. The Board’s failure to
perform such an assessment constitutes a reviewable error and justifies a
redetermination of the applicant’s claim.
[43]
In the cases referred to in Wang (Huang v
Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2008 FC 132, [2008] FCJ
No 164; Li v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2008 FC
266, [2008] FCJ No 338; and Chen v Canada
(Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2002 FCT 480, [2002] FCJ No 647),
the Board failed to make any finding that the applicant was a genuine or
practicing member of a religious group. In the present case, the Board clearly
found that the applicant is not a genuine Falun Gong practitioner.
[44]
In Wang, the Board found that the
applicant was not credible because she failed to file a summons for her arrest
and because testimony regarding her transit from China was inconsistent with
documentary evidence. In the present case, the Board made similar credibility
findings as well as several other credibility findings and clearly made a
finding that “the claimant has not provided sufficient evidence
the [PSB] is seeking the arrest of the claimant as a Falun Gong practitioner in
China.”
Are the Credibility
Findings Reasonable?
[45]
The applicant submits that the Board erred in
making adverse inferences based on testimony attributed to the applicant
erroneously. The applicant did not testify about how she obtained her US visa.
However the Board drew an adverse inference based on the assumption that the
smuggler had obtained her US visa.
[46]
Similarly, the Board erroneously attributed
testimony to the applicant about how she was directed to navigate through the
airport unaccompanied by a smuggler. However, the applicant testified that she
was accompanied by one smuggler from China to the US and another smuggler from
the US to Canada.
[47]
The applicant also submits that the Board’s
findings regarding her exit from China are inconsistent. The Board found that
her departure without detection and on her own passport was not plausible due
to the Golden Shield Project database. However, the Board acknowledged that some
smugglers circumvent airport security and that “in some instances, there have
been reports of police not sharing information.” The applicant also submits
that the Board erred by speculating that the stamp on her passport indicated that
it had been examined.
[48]
In addition, the applicant argues that the
Board’s finding that a summons would have been left with her family if she were
wanted is unreasonable, given the Board’s acknowledgement that a summons is not
always issued.
[49]
The applicant also argues that the Board
selectively relied on aspects of the documentary evidence in finding that her
testimony that her family had not suffered any adverse consequences was not
consistent with the documentary evidence which indicates that her family would
have been harassed, or worse, if the PSB were looking for her.
[50]
The respondent’s position is that all the
credibility findings were reasonable individually and cumulatively and that the
applicant’s story did not reflect the country condition evidence, including
that: she used her genuine passport; the passport was marked with an exit
stamp; if the PSB were looking for her, they would know she had departed given
the exit stamp; she retained her own passport and visa, which is not consistent
with relying on a smuggler; she walked across the US-Canada border undetected;
no summons or arrest warrant was left with her family despite sixteen visits by
the PSB; her family suffered no adverse consequences; and, there was no
corroborating evidence about any of the applicant’s allegations or about the
arrest of Ms Wang or another member of the practice group.
[51]
With respect to the Board’s reference to the
applicant’s testimony about her smuggler and her US visa, the respondent
submits that, although the applicant did not answer how her smuggler obtained
the visa, the Board reasonably relied on the objective country condition
evidence.
[52]
The respondent also submits that the Board
reasonably concluded that if the PSB were interested in the applicant, she
would not have been able to leave the country using her genuine passport, with
or without a smuggler. In addition, the passport stamp indicated that her
passport was inspected at the airport.
[53]
Given the applicant’s testimony that the PSB
looked for her on at least sixteen different occasions, the respondent argues
that it was reasonable to find that a summons or arrest warrant would have been
issued or left with her family, even if the summons and arrest warrants are not
always issued.
[54]
Similarly, given the country condition evidence
that indicates that family members are targeted by authorities, it was open for
the Board to find that the applicant’s family’s lack of problems with the
authorities detracted from the credibility of her claim.
[55]
The respondent also points out that the Board
made other credibility findings that the applicant has not challenged, such as
those based on the retention of her passport and visa and her testimony that
she was able to walk across the US-Canada border without incident.
The credibility findings are reasonable
[56]
As noted above, the Board’s credibility findings
are owed significant deference.
[57]
The Board found the applicant’s evidence of her
alleged Falun Gong practices in China and her departure and travel to Canada to
be inconsistent and implausible, and not in accordance with the objective country
condition documentation.
[58]
The Board is well placed to assess credibility
and is familiar with the country condition evidence that the Board relies on
when assessing claims that are similar in nature. The Board reasonably found
that this applicant’s story did not align with the objective country condition
evidence, for example, with respect to the likelihood of detection at the
airport if wanted by the PSB, the use of summons in many cases, particularly if
the PSB had sought her on sixteen occasions, the harassment or other
consequences to family members of those wanted by the PSB, and the exit stamp
as an indication that her passport had been examined.
[59]
In addition, the Board reasonably found that her
evidence was inconsistent with being assisted by a smuggler, because she
retained her own passport and visa. The Board’s findings cover both aspects of
her claim which, in the Board’s view, were not consistent with country
condition documents. If she travelled on her genuine passport and were wanted
by the PSB, she would have been detected upon exiting the airport. If she
travelled with a smuggler, she would not likely have used her own passport or
been able to retain her own passport.
[60]
Although the Board includes some passages that are
not related to this applicant, the Board made sufficient and clear credibility
findings that justify its overall finding that the applicant lacked
credibility.
The Board reasonably found that the applicant had not
established her identity as a Falun Gong practitioner in China
[61]
The applicant submits that the Board erred in
making credibility findings on the basis of a lack of corroborative evidence
alone (Ndjamena v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2013
FC 452 at para 6, 227 ACWS (3d) 1137 [Ndjavera]; Ismaili v Canada
(Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2014 FC 84 at para 43, [2014]
FCJ No 78 [Ismaili]; and Amarapala v Canada (Minister of Citizenship
and Immigration), 2004 FC 12 at para 10, [2004] FCJ No 62 [Amarapala]).
[62]
However, the cases relied on by the applicant, Ndjavera,
Ismaili and Amarapala, note that it is an error for the Board to
make a credibility finding only on the basis of a lack of corroborating
evidence, where there are no valid reasons to doubt the applicant’s credibility.
[63]
In the present case, the Board clearly stated
several reasons for doubting the credibility of the applicant, including
because her allegations were inconsistent with the objective country condition
documentation that the Board relied on and many of her allegations, for
example, her ability to leave China undetected and her ability to walk across
the US-Canada border without incident, were not plausible.
[64]
The Board noted that the lack of documentation
to substantiate aspects of the applicant’s allegations gave the Board “a degree
of apprehension” with respect to her overall credibility. The Board then
acknowledged the presumption that an applicant’s testimony is true, which can
be rebutted where there are reasons to doubt it. The Board noted it had such
reasons and clearly set out its credibility findings arising from inconsistency
and implausibility.
The Board did not base its
decision on speculation
[65]
The applicant submits that the Board based its
finding that the applicant acquired her Falun Gong knowledge in Canada on mere
speculation or conjecture.
[66]
Similarly, the applicant argues that the Board
based its alternative conclusion that she would not face persecution in China upon her return on mere speculation or conjecture. The applicant submits that the
Board should not have relied on UK jurisprudence. The same document cited by
the Board also refers to the risk to Falun Gong practitioners in China. The
applicant submits that the Board erred in ignoring this contradictory evidence
(Wei v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2002 FCT 285 at
paras 42-43, 112 ACWS (3d) 1128)
[67]
I do not agree that the Board’s findings are
based on speculation. The Board noted that the applicant was able to answer
most questions about Falun Gong practice and philosophy but found that it was
possible that she had acquired her knowledge of Falun Gong while in Canada to bolster her claim. The Board gave little weight to the letters from her fellow
practitioners in Canada and stated its reasons for doing so. The Board also
reasonably found that, because it concluded that the applicant was not a
practitioner in China, the PSB would not be interested in pursuing her due to
her activities in Canada.
[68]
The Board’s alternative finding – that if she
were a Falun Gong practitioner, she could return to her private practice in a
small group as she had before – is also within the range of reasonable
outcomes.
[69]
The Board did not ignore the contradictory
documentary evidence nor did it rely only on UK jurisprudence. The UK
jurisprudence cited was part of a larger reference to a passage from the UK
report, which was part of the objective country condition evidence.
[70]
The Board acknowledged the documentary evidence
noting that if a Falun Gong practitioner comes to the attention of the authorities
they could be at risk. However, the Board noted that the applicant’s group had
not been discovered and relied on its earlier finding that the PSB was not
looking for the applicant. The Board’s alternative finding is not unreasonable
given that it is based on the earlier credibility findings. The alternative
finding falls within the range of reasonable outcomes.
The Board’s failure to explicitly assess the sur place
claim is not an error
[71]
The applicant submits that the Board erred in
failing to assess her sur place claim based on her activities in Canada
(Chen v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2014 FC 749,
242 ACWS (3d) 909).
[72]
The respondent notes that the Board found that
the applicant was not credible. Therefore, it was reasonable for the Board to
doubt the veracity of her other claims, including that she is now a genuine
Falun Gong practitioner in Canada.
[73]
The respondent referred to Li v Canada
(Minister of Citizenship and Immigration), 2012 FC 998 at para 32, 221 ACWS
(3d) 939 [Li], noting that a higher standard should be imposed to
establish a sur place claim where the applicant’s story is found not to
be credible.
[74]
In the present case, it cannot be said that the
Board did not consider her sur place claim. The Board noted that it gave
little weight to the letters from the applicant’s fellow practitioners in
Canada, and there was nothing other than her testimony for the Board to assess
and weigh.
[75]
The Board reasonably found that the applicant is
not a genuine Falun Gong practitioner, in either Canada or China, based on her
lack of credibility and lack of corroborative evidence. The Board was not
required to do more to assess her sur place claim as there was no such
credible claim to assess.
[76]
In Li, Justice Gleason noted, at para 32:
Where, as here, a claimant’s assertion to
have been the victim of religious persecution abroad is found to be a
fabrication, it is completely reasonable for the RPD to require a much higher
degree of proof of the sincerity of the applicant’s beliefs and practice in
support of a sur place claim than might be required where the mere fact
of apostasy might lead to persecution or where the Board believes the claimant
to have been the victim of religious persecution abroad. Otherwise, it would be
far too easy to succeed in a fraudulent claim: a dishonest applicant would need
only to join a church and study the religion to advance a sur place claim…
[77]
In Jin v Canada (Minister of Citizenship and
Immigration), 2012 FC 595, [2012] FCJ No 677, Justice Pinard noted, with
respect to a claim that the applicant was persecuted due to her religion, at
para 20:
…Since the applicant was not considered to
be a genuine practicing Christian, the Board need not consider whether the
applicant would be at risk of religious persecution in China. Thereby, this is
not a case where the applicant’s religious activities in Canada might give rise
to negative reaction on the part of Chinese authorities if forced to return to
China (see Girmaeyesus v. Minister of Citizenship and Immigration, 2010
FC 53 at para 28). Furthermore, the respondent is right in that it would be
absurd to grant a sur place claim every time a pastor provides a letter
attesting to an applicant’s membership in his church.
[78]
The Board took a similar approach in the present
case; the Board did not consider the applicant to be a genuine Falun Gong
practitioner and, therefore, concluded that she would not practice Falun Gong
if she returned to China and, as a result, would not face any persecution.
The Board did not err in finding that the applicant would
not face persecution or harm in China
[79]
The Board’s (alternative) finding that the
applicant may practice Falun Gong in China without risk was reasonable and
supported by the applicant’s own evidence – that she claimed to have practiced
in a group of six who met in private and secretly. The Board found that, even
if the applicant is a Falun Gong practitioner, neither she nor her group were
sought or discovered by the PSB in the past.
[80]
I do not agree with the applicant’s submission
that the Board applied the wrong test with respect to section 96 by finding
that the applicant “would” not face persecution.
[81]
The interpretation has been confirmed in many
cases, notably by the Federal Court of Appeal in Adjei v Canada (Minister of
Employment and Immigration), [1989] 2 FC 680 at para 8, [1989] FCJ No 67:
What is
evidently indicated by phrases such as “good grounds” or “reasonable chance”
is, on the one hand, that there need not be more than a 50% chance (i.e., a
probability), and on the other hand that there must be more than a minimal
possibility. We believe this can also be expressed as a “reasonable” or even a
“serious possibility”, as opposed to a mere possibility.
[82]
The Board specifically concluded that the
applicant “has not satisfied her burden of establishing a serious
possibility that she would be persecuted…” (emphasis added). In addition to
stating the test correctly, the reasons read as a whole demonstrate that the
Officer applied the correct test in assessing her risk pursuant to section 96 and
determining on a balance of probabilities that she had not established that she
would not face a serious possibility of persecution because she had not
established that she practised Falun Gong.